Plan a calmer dinner week in 2 minutes —build a preview

Latest BLS grocery price data, translated for dinner

Latest grocery price index 2026: BLS food CPI, USDA outlook, and what it means for dinner

See the latest BLS food-at-home CPI context, USDA grocery price outlook notes, staple food pressure, and the practical planning move for families trying to turn real groceries into realistic dinners.

Reviewed September 23, 2026 • BLS release: September 11, 2026

August grocery inflation: flat for the month, up 2.2% for the year

A flat month does not mean prices returned to earlier levels. Use the inflation reading to understand the direction of prices, and the historical chart to compare changes over time.

Quick answer

In August 2026, grocery prices were unchanged from July and 2.2% higher than a year earlier. Restaurant prices rose 0.3% for the month and 3.4% over the year. The monthly grocery change is seasonally adjusted. The monthly restaurant change and both annual changes are not seasonally adjusted. These measure inflation, not the cost of a household grocery basket.

Official-source answer: The latest public grocery price signal combines BLS food-at-home CPI, BLS average retail staple prices, and the USDA ERS Food Price Outlook. SummitPlate turns those source signals into the family dinner move: plan the pressure ingredients first, then build one grocery list around dinners that reuse what you buy.

Source: BLS August 2026 CPI release, Table A. Historical charts, staple prices and downloads below retain the data available for our September 3 report: BLS CPI and staple-price observations through July 2026.

If you need the official forecast

Use USDA ERS Food Price Outlook and BLS CPI as the source of record for inflation, category forecasts, and official food price methodology.

USDA Food Price Outlook

If you need the dinner plan

Use SummitPlate to turn price pressure into shared ingredients, pantry-first dinners, and one grocery list for the week.

Meal planner with grocery list

Make the index personal

What does this grocery signal mean for your household?

Start with household size, then adjust income and store type in the calculator. The result is a planning estimate, not a guaranteed spending target.

People in your household
Calculate my household budget

Quotable snapshot

The latest family dinner spread is $36.10.

In the September 2026 update, SummitPlate uses Latest BLS food price data available as of September 3, 2026: July 2026; USDA ERS August 2026 Food Price Outlook Summary Findings. BLS August 2026 CPI is scheduled for September 11, 2026 to estimate a planned home dinner for four at $17.40 versus $53.50 for casual takeout for four.

Takeout ratio

3.1x

Casual takeout estimate versus the planned home dinner estimate in the latest row.

Historical food at home CPI

321.6

1.3% above January in this tracker.

Historical restaurant CPI

396.9

Food away from home keeps pressure on takeout nights.

Home dinner for 4

$17.40

SummitPlate planning estimate for a basic dinner at home.

Takeout for 4

$53.50

Casual family takeout estimate used for planning context.

Historical BLS readings

Grocery and restaurant price levels over time.

Chart coverage: Apr 25 through Jul 26. Both lines start at 100 and share one scale. A value of 102 means prices are 2% above the starting month; it is not monthly inflation. October 2025 is missing from this dataset. Points show available observations, with September followed by November.

Food at home

+3.1%

since Apr 25

Restaurants

+4.4%

since Apr 25

100.0101.3102.5103.8105.0Apr 25May 25Jun 25Jul 25Aug 25Sep 25Nov 25Dec 25Jan 26Feb 26Mar 26Apr 26May 26Jun 26Jul 26
Food at home CPI, indexed to 100 in Apr 25Food away from home CPI (dashed), indexed to 100 in Apr 25
View chart data and units

Source: BLS food at home and food away from home, U.S. city average, not seasonally adjusted. Original CPI uses 1982–84 = 100; chart values rebase each series to its first observation. This historical table ends before the August release summarized above.

Historical CPI observations and chart values
MonthGrocery CPIRestaurant CPIGrocery chart indexRestaurant chart index
Apr 25311.840380.039100.00100.00
May 25312.491381.228100.21100.31
Jun 25313.028382.750100.38100.71
Jul 25313.263383.808100.46100.99
Aug 25314.608384.909100.89101.28
Sep 25316.042385.451101.35101.42
Nov 25313.954387.202100.68101.88
Dec 25315.664389.889101.23102.59
Jan 26317.431390.471101.79102.74
Feb 26318.898391.706102.26103.07
Mar 26318.755392.652102.22103.32
Apr 26320.859393.546102.89103.55
May 26321.047394.728102.95103.87
Jun 26321.631395.633103.14104.10
Jul 26321.643396.859103.14104.43

Since people started watching inflation

Cumulative food inflation since January 2021

Compared with January 2021, the latest BLS food data through July 2026shows why families still feel like dinner got permanently more expensive.

Groceries

+27.6%

Restaurant meals

+32.1%

Ground beef

+73.6%

Eggs

+49.3%

Chicken breast

+27.4%

Milk

+24.4%

Calculated from BLS January 2021 and July 2026 readings for the same CPI and average retail food price series used in the SummitPlate Grocery Price Index.

Current staple prices

Eggs, dozen
$2.19
Ground beef, pound
$6.88
Chicken breast, pound
$4.15
Milk, gallon
$4.31
White bread, pound
$1.82

What to do this month

  • Put beef in the one meal where it matters most, then use chicken, beans, eggs, or pantry proteins elsewhere instead of buying beef by default.
  • Treat the nearly flat grocery index as a reason to plan carefully, not a signal that every aisle got cheaper; staple prices moved in different directions.
  • Assign a realistic backup dinner to the busiest night before shopping, because restaurant prices kept rising even while the at-home index held steady.
Planning move: Build a five-dinner week with one intentional beef meal, two chicken or pantry-protein meals that share produce, one flexible egg-based dinner, and one five-minute backup for the night most likely to turn into takeout.

Turn the price signal into a plan

Do not stop at knowing prices went up. Use the data to tighten the week.

The latest report is getting visibility because families are trying to understand grocery pressure. The next useful step is a grocery-ready week: one budget, shared ingredients, fewer duplicate buys, and one fallback dinner before takeout becomes the plan.

Build my price-aware week →

Monthly report archive

Each monthly report turns the official food price data into a simple family dinner read: what changed, what matters, and what to plan next.

January 2026

January 2026 Grocery Price Index: Family Dinner Costs Start the Year High

The January 2026 SummitPlate Grocery Price Index tracks grocery prices, takeout inflation, and what the latest data means for family dinner planning.

February 2026

February 2026 Grocery Price Index: Eggs Ease, Dinner Still Needs a Plan

The February 2026 Grocery Price Index tracks easing egg prices, steady grocery inflation, restaurant costs, and the family dinner planning impact.

March 2026

March 2026 Grocery Price Index: Beef Pressure Returns to the Dinner Plan

The March 2026 Grocery Price Index covers grocery inflation, restaurant prices, beef pressure, and practical dinner planning moves for families.

April 2026

April 2026 Grocery Price Index: Groceries Rise While Eggs Keep Cooling

The April 2026 Grocery Price Index shows grocery CPI rising, eggs easing, beef staying high, and takeout remaining the costly fallback.

May 2026

May 2026 Grocery Price Index: BLS Food CPI + Family Dinner Moves

See the May 2026 Grocery Price Index with BLS food-at-home CPI, staple prices, takeout pressure, and the family dinner move for the week.

June 2026

June 2026 Grocery Price Index: BLS Food CPI + USDA Outlook

See June 2026 Grocery Price Index context from BLS food-at-home CPI, USDA Food Price Outlook, staple prices, beef pressure, egg relief, and dinner planning moves.

July 2026

July 2026 Grocery Price Index: Beef Eases, Groceries Still Need a Plan

See July 2026 Grocery Price Index context from BLS food-at-home CPI, USDA Food Price Outlook, staple prices, beef easing, egg relief, and dinner planning moves.

August 2026

August 2026 Grocery Price Index: Eggs Fall, Beef and Milk Climb

See the August 2026 Grocery Price Index with June BLS food CPI, falling egg prices, rising beef and milk costs, USDA forecasts, and practical dinner moves.

September 2026

September 2026 Grocery Price Index: Groceries Flatten, Takeout Climbs

See the September 2026 Grocery Price Index with July BLS food CPI, staple prices, rising takeout costs, USDA forecasts, and practical family dinner moves.

Methodology and sources

This index is built for practical dinner planning, not academic inflation modeling. SummitPlate uses official BLS food-at-home, food-away-from-home, and selected U.S. city average staple price series, then pairs those signals with USDA ERS food-price context, a planned-home-dinner estimate, and a casual-takeout estimate for four.

The home-dinner and takeout-for-four numbers are SummitPlate planning estimates for translating official price signals into a family dinner decision. They are not official BLS series. For dish-level restaurant craving estimates, see the Fast Food Dupe Savings Tracker.

Cite this page

Source-ready citation for writers and journalists

SummitPlate. "Family Dinner Cost Index." SummitPlate Grocery Price Index, updated 2026-09-03. https://www.summitplate.com/grocery-price-index. Methodology and reuse: https://www.summitplate.com/grocery-price-index/methodology.

This hub is the canonical page for the Family Dinner Cost Index. Monthly reports, the dupe tracker, and external citations should link back here so source references consolidate on the main data asset.

For journalists, bloggers, and resource editors, see the Grocery Price Index press kit for citation guidance, downloadable data, embed code, and story angles. Full source definitions, missing-data policy, estimate boundaries, and reuse terms live on the dedicated methodology page.

Turn this month's prices into a realistic weekly meal plan.

The data is useful, but the win is action: fewer duplicate groceries, fewer wasted ingredients, and fewer expensive 6pm takeout calls.